CRE Underwriting and Credit Analysis

Hi all,

First time, long time. I graduated this year and only recently got a job as an analyst for a small regional bank. I know the time will come but without having hundreds of deal reps under my belt, what would be the best way to learn or teach myself how to review a loan request and analyze the credit to determine if it's worth spending time on it or not? I know the senior people have a natural talent to go along with their years of experience but I want to give myself any opportunity to learn how to be a better credit analyst and identify risks and mitigants of a deal.

What are some tips or exercises you guys would recommend to help shorten the learning curve, outside of live reps? What are important things to review or identify at first and second glance?

10 Comments
 

To sharpen your skills in CRE underwriting and credit analysis, here are some actionable tips and exercises based on the most helpful WSO content:

1. Understand Key Financial Metrics and Analysis

  • Focus on capital structure: Learn to evaluate leverage, debt maturity profiles, and the company's ability to service debt.
  • Master cash flow analysis: Understand Free Cash Flow (FCF), its ability to cover non-discretionary outlays, and debt service.
  • Dive into historical financials: Analyze operating performance, key drivers like EBITDA, and trends over time.
  • Build and review projections: Create operating models that align with the tenure of bank facilities and forecasted performance.

2. Develop a Risk Assessment Framework

  • Identify default risk: Assess the borrower's ability to meet interest and principal payments based on financial condition, industry trends, and economic variables.
  • Evaluate loss-given-default risk: Understand the severity of potential losses by analyzing collateral and the capital structure hierarchy.
  • Use internal risk ratings: Familiarize yourself with numerical scales that banks use to assess client risk profiles and set lending limits.

3. Practice Modeling and Analysis

  • Learn to model three financial statements and build a capital structure table. This is foundational for credit analysis.
  • Create a spreadsheet to track deals you analyze, including return metrics, deal size, and assumptions. Over time, this will help you identify trends and refine your judgment.

4. Study Industry-Specific Nuances

  • Tailor your analysis to the industry. For example, certain metrics or risks may be more relevant in CRE than in other sectors.
  • Review public credit agreements and past deals to understand terms, covenants, and financial analyses performed.

5. Leverage Resources and Self-Training

  • Read primers and guides on credit analysis, such as the LCD Loan Primer, to deepen your understanding of leveraged finance and credit structures.
  • Seek out opportunities to shadow senior analysts or participate in client-facing activities to observe how they assess deals.

6. Focus on Risk Mitigation

  • Identify primary and secondary sources of repayment, such as FCF, refinancing options, or asset sales.
  • Think critically about potential risks and how they can be mitigated, whether through structuring, covenants, or other measures.

7. Build a Strong Foundation in Debt and Lending Products

  • Familiarize yourself with lending products like Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, FHA, and bridge loans. Understanding these structures will help you recommend financing options effectively.

8. Hone Your Analytical and Decision-Making Skills

  • Practice reviewing loan requests by focusing on the most critical aspects first, such as the borrower's financial health, collateral, and repayment sources.
  • Over time, aim to develop a "gut feel" for deals by combining technical analysis with intuition gained from experience.

By consistently applying these strategies, you'll accelerate your learning curve and position yourself as a strong credit analyst in the CRE space.

Sources: Credit Analyst Q&A, Overview of Leveraged Finance, Credit Analyst Q&A, Analyst Interview - Common Questions

I'm an AI bot trained on the most helpful WSO content across 17+ years.
 
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First - this comment: ["what would be the best way to learn ... if it's worth spending time on it or not?"] piqued my curiosity. As an analyst, this is (typically) not your prerogative. If a lender brings a deal to the bank, you're to work on it until it gets shut down by credit or rejected by the borrower. Your bank may do things differently since its a small regional, but that would be surprising to me. Might be worth clarifying what the expectations are from your lenders. If you are in an analyst pool, that can tend to be an echo chamber where everyone complains about working on deals that go no where and "wasting their time" and being frustrated at how DuMb ThE lEnDeRs ArE for not seeing HoW bAd these HoRriBlE dEaLs are!!!!1. The analyst is the low person on the totem pole and the job is to work the deals. If I'm reading your situation wrong, disregard, but I've seen this many times. If I'm reading it right, don't get sucked into that vortex. 

With that being said, in CRE (in context of commercial lending at a small regional bank) the business is very formulaic. The ratios that drive appetite are DSC, LTC/LTV, and debt yield. Probably an additional metric that will be transaction-specific based on property type or something but realistically... if you have a deal that misses the mark on any two of those things: it's probably not going anywhere without some other type of credit enhancement. The importance of those ratios is proportional to the size of the transaction for what should be obvious reasons. 

Second, not the response you want but there really isn't any substitute for time in the seat. Best thing you can do is just ask for more work and ask lots of questions of both the RM and the credit folks decisioning the deals. If you're really ambitious you could pull a report showing the biggest exposures in the bank/region/market you support and then go find the credit packages in file that were used to approve those deals. Read what they wrote about those deals and look for themes common to what you're working on. 

Third, best exercise you can do on any deal crossing your desk is to verify every fact and assumption. Take nothing for granted. Simple example:

  • DSC is a function of NOI/DS... so how is NOI calculated?
    • Is it using actual historical or projected?
    • What are the assumptions in the projection?
      • Are those assumptions verifiable or blue sky? (ex: rent escalators firmly written into lease versus tenant turnover and borrower assumes they can re-lease at same or higher rate)
    • Are you basing NOI on actual or some standard bank scenario that involves capital reserves, management fee assumptions, etc etc.
    • Are you calculating based on tax returns or company-prepared financials?
      • Are either/both cash basis or accrual? This kind of thing can matter.
  • How is DS calculated?
    • Is the loan going to be fixed rate or variable rate?
    • Does the bank have some stupid rule about using P+I for variable rate term loans to avoid negative amortization? (regional banks that think they are so smart love to complicate things like this)
    • How is P+I calculated in that scenario?
      • (If you haven't already, do the arithmetic on a mortgage-style P&I payment versus a P+I payment and observe the difference in Years 1-4 on a loan).
    • Is the rate going to be fixed via swap?
      • How does the swap desk calculate payments?

That's a series of questions related to two single numbers that make up one of the most important ratios in a CRE deal and you can see there's nuance to each one that can't necessarily be taken at face value. Do this exercise for every number that is meaningful in the analysis and you'll be a better analyst. But it will take time. 

"And where we had thought to be alone we shall be with all the world"
 

Thank you. I should clarify that I wasn't trying to bypass my responsibilities but rather look for ways to accelerate or support my learning that I'll get on the job. The qualitative info you provided is super helpful but I agree that the reps and pattern recognition are what will really help me become a better UW and real estate person.

 

Best way to learn is by reviewing as many real deals as you can and asking seniors how they think through risk. Patterns start to click fast once you’ve seen enough reps.

 

"What are important things to review or identify at first and second glance?"

Before you dive into all the ratios noted above, you need to familiarize yourself with the most important factor in real estate...Location Location Location!!!.   The best thing you can do to shorten the learning curve is get to know the markets your bank is targeting.  e.g. trendy neighborhoods, bad neighborhoods, gentrifying neighborhoods, overbuilt neighborhoods, paths of growth, high/low barriers to entry, demographics, crime stats, school districts, etc.   Eventually you should be able to tell right away if a property is in a location you'd be comfortable pitching to committee.  

 

i never cared about location that much working at a lender doing credit uw. Location will impact the rents achieved at the property, so that 'analysis' the market has already done for you via the rent roll that you receive and the rents within

PropMetrica | Multifamily underwriting template
 

Thank you, this is helpful and the old real estate adage. Outside of location, what would you say is important to past the sniff test of a deal or request in order for you to allocate more resources to it?

 

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