Big 4 Val & Modelling - Do I have a real shot at IB or am I just deluding myself?

After two and a half not-so-pleasant years in big 4 audit (non-target stoner kid who sucked at interviews), I've finally been able to break free and got a job as a senior in the valuations and modelling group at another big 4 firm, in the Toronto office. This job seems quite technical on the modelling side, and also involve some coding and data modelling, but they also said I should get to work on deals through fairness opinions and providing modelling support for the firm's MM corporate finance/IB team.

Of course I'll be learning the actual role and grinding away and won't be applying to other jobs right away, but let's say I do a good job, get the Manager promo in a year and a half, would I have a legitimate shot at IB job at a reputable bank (i.e. BB, Canadian big 5, or strong regional player like National/Canaccord)? I would even be willing to start at the Analyst level (which would prob still offer a good pay raise for a Manager at a Toronto big 4, lmao). I would also have a CPA next to my name, and potentially a CFA as well. I've also gotten some modelling experience even in my audit job as I've been doing goodwill impairment since my A1 year, and worked on a big PPA over the past year too.

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