Future of Banking?
Saw a recent thread asking where people would prefer to start their career: SF or NY. Gotta say, I was surprised by the amount of support given to SF. Was expecting NYC to win by a landslide, given this is, well, WSO. But it got me thinking. What does the future of IB look like? Will tech eat away at other industry groups and blend the line we see between, say Tech, Media, Entertainment, Retail, even Industrials? Let's face it. Consumer & Retail is a dying industry. Will the job of an investment banker in a shop like Financo (dedicated to C&R) maintain its liveliness for long? I understand product groups will always be there. But as for industry ones, if we're not part of TMT, is it possible we can be at a disadvantage in the upcoming years? Would appreciate all your thoughts and reasonings!
Edit: A few questions I feel that sum up my entire post: What does the future (next 10 years) look like for industry groups outside of TMT? Will they be looking at similar deal flow to what's currently experienced? Will they even be separate groups, or will they be consolidated into tech? If it's the latter, could we see SF replacing NYC as the financial capital of the US? If one's not part of TMT, will they be screwed (again, about like 10 years in the future) come time of exiting to PE?
Appreciate all insight!
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Long term or short term? I think there will be long term shift to remote and cross functional/sector coverage. tech will consume most everything.
I'm thinking semi-long term. As in the next 10 years. I can definitely see Covid bringing a shift to remote working, especially at the junior level.
What future?
TMT and RX > everything else
I partially agree with you on RX, but I see it as more of the group right now primarily because of Covid. How about in the next 5 years. You think RX will still be the group to be in? Not challenging you, just asking a sincere question.
Oh for sure, the reason I said RX was because of stability. RX can never die, companies run poorly, get burned by over leverage in a bear market or for other reasons and then have to hire a RX firm to deal with their mess and countries have to hire RX firms for their debt issues as well. I think Lazard is working with Argentina and Zambia just hired them to advise them on their debt.
To me given that the world debt is growing and increased economic concerns with damage from climate change, I would be dead set on a career in RX.
Uhhh you forgot this small industry group called healthcare which happens to comprise 18% of US GDP.
LOL
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Bump
Healthcare and Tech are the industries of the future
Even the line between them is getting blurred too though
Healthcare IT for the win
dead industry
The lines between tech and other groups will be increasingly blurred as businesses become increasingly digital across sectors.
For instance, retail will pivot from a bricks and mortar platform to a digital one. Doesn't mean C&R groups will die out; it just means that C&R bankers will have to understand the dynamics of ecommerce and digital platforms.
So in a nutshell, bankers across groups will have to understand digital businesses a lot better. FIG is a good example. Fintech has not necessarily migrated to TMT coverage - given that the economics of these businesses are fundamentally FIG-like (obviously), the tech bit is rather a way of approaching the business (i.e. digitising risk functions, branches etc).
Re SF vs NYC, SF has a terrible time zone situation. Capital flows globally these days. London will still be the financial centre ex-US due to its legal system and time zone positioning. Therefore NYC is the natural hub for US capital, as working with SF from London would be a nightmare. I did back in the day as TMT banker and have to say it wasn't pleasant.
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I don't know where people get this idea that consumer & retail is a dying industry. The consumer sector consists of items that companies make and sell to the customer for the purposes of consumption (through whatever channel, DTC or retail distribution). Is food a dying industry? How about sparkling water? Energy drinks? Lotion? Bikes? Furniture? This doesn't even touch on that fact that retail is still a thing in the world of online / eCommerce (this is true from a banking coverage standpoint too).
Because they say the latest bottle water company is 1000% tech.
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