how often do analysts actually skip a year to become associate?

My bank does a 3-year program and an analyst 2 is making a big fuss about how she's going to quit if they don't do a direct promotion to associate. The MDs have said they don't do that, but I'm getting the vibe that they just might since they like her a lot

Is it highly unlikely they actually do this? the rest of our class will 100% not be happy about it since we've been fed the idea that the structure is ironclad unless you come in as a lateral. I'd definitely want to leave if that was the case since it just feels unfair

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