Incoming CS folks - are we saved or are we fked?

UBS agrees to buy CS for ~$2Bn. Given that the merger is more likely to occur now, is jobs / offers at CS safe or should everyone at CS just brace for mass layoffs / offers rescinded in the coming months?

60 Comments
 

No one knows for sure but I mean, UBS has been VERY public about wanting to get out of IB in general and in most of the news coverage of this merger you see they were particularly disinterested in keeping around CS’s IB division considering all the scandal and issues it’s caused + reports say they’re pretty committed to cutting the overall IB down to 1/3rd of the combined size of both firms. 
 

So again, while we don’t have confirmation - the news is kind of saying that it’s not a rosy picture for ANYONE in IBD at CS or even UBS and I’m inclined to agree with the news here 

 

I would operate under the assumption that there will be mass layoffs and offers rescinded

 

This is always what they say for the sake of good PR when a high profile M&A deal happens. Expect the “synergies” to kick in a few months as people are laid off to “cut costs” or “market forces”.

Array
 

All management talk about keeping the jobs, valuing the talents etc for the public image…but can do quite the opposite just to save the short-term stock price

 

Hard to imagine that there won't be headcount reduction. I am assuming it would be cuts made in CS? Massive headcount reduction at UBS would be terrible for the culture and morale that they are so proud of 

 

LMAO the chairman has expressed what they are going to do: winding down the cs ib business, he didn’t say UBS (albeit there are layoffs that will happen that were already planned) CS will for sure take the brunt of this and the strong will remain. 

 

Yes, in fact it’s looking likely the CSFB split is not going to happen although it’s not been confirmed yet

 

The UBS investor pres says they plan to squeeze $8 billion of run rate cost savings out of the pro forma business. CS had FY22 g&a expense of….drum roll please…$8.9 billion. 

maybe for projected synergies ubs just looked real fast at how much they’d save if/when they fire everyone from CS  😬😲 

JK you guys are wasting your time. No one knows or cares at what will happen to you. It’s irrational to worry about stuff you can’t control. Just make contingency plans starting now

 

Where are you getting this from? Unless M Klein comes up with something, I see entire investment bank except US advisory to be exited especially since they're under such a tight timeline. Spin offs would just take longer and be more expensive

 

Instead of selling CS IB, they just destroyed.

Massive destruction of value

 

Can someone clarify what CS US advisory is? Is that all the vanilla coverage groups, m&a, sponsors etc?

Know that prime brokerage, a lot of the markets bizz and spg is in NCU

 

I'm pretty sure it's all coverage groups, M&A and sponsors but I'd assume not levfin and definitely not any cap markets

 

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