Predictions for RBC Dealflow In Next Few Years

RBC is currently at mid-tier BB or top tier EB status in terms of deal flow in the past year or two and has been steadily climbing up the ranks, poised to overtake the likes of Citi/JEF/Barclays next year. Where do you guys think it will ultimately end up plateauing in 5-10 years? Will it become the CVP of BBs (low headcount whale hunters who are in the top 5-7 of league tables), or will it replace MS (declining dealflow, shift to PWM, decaying brand name although not to the extent GS is rotting) as part of the JPM/GS/RBC holy trinity?

I think RBC will ultimately land below the fortress that is JPM and below the legacy name of GS and end up being a peer to the likes of CVP and edges out BofA/Citi/EVR on a deal value basis. In terms of fees per head, I think RBC is going to be beaten out by Q/Allen & Co/CVP/PJT, but will end up head to head with JPM/GS and a cut above MS/BofA/Citi.

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