Question on multiples valuation and total return
Simple question that I'm having some trouble thinking through - After calculating a comps-based valuation, is it appropriate to add the Co's expected yield to calculate a 1-yr expected holding period return?
A simple example: Price: $10/share Earnings: $1/share Dividend: $1/share Peer Avg. P/E: 11x
Expected Return: $1/share (multiple expansion) + $1/share dividend received = $2/share or 20% return
I apologize if this is a dumb question but appreciate the help. Can't seem to determine if I'm double counting the dividend here. Thanks!
Total return is gonna be (change in price)+(change in P/E)+dividend yield
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