UBS Says They Expect Deal Making to Fall Further in 2Q 2025
Obviously entire market is down, but for UBS, this is particularly a bad sign since 2024 was worse than 2023, unlike most banks. In other words, despite significant investment in IB and hiring dozens of bankers post-merger, the bank is performing worse than it did if you had simply combined CS+UBS as a franchise. It seems quite clear that UBS will simply go back to what it was pre-merger, and all the talk of a vast improvement in IB post-merger will just be talk.
Deals are being cranked out left and right from what I can tell. The rebound is much faster given how big the trade war implications were expected to be.
Nomura better than M&A than UBS in 2025, pass it on
Yes for the year globally, they have had a great APAC and Japan year (they have done ~13OBn in transaction value in APAC this year which is a 13x improvement over the previous year, where they did roughly ~10Bn). Obviously, I don't think anyone reasonable would take Nomura over UBS in the Americas or Europe. Nomura is well below the top 30 in LTM and YTD league tables in America, not a serious American franchise.
UBS doesn’t have a serious America’s franchise
Compared to Nomura, it absolutely does. If I went and suggested to my sponsor to ever use Nomura as an M&A advisor on something, I'd be laughed out of the room. Not the case for UBS.
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