How long until the next lockdown?

We're entering the season for seasonal viruses, how long do you think there is until they shut everything down again? I already see a worryingly large amount of people actually asking to be preemptively locked down...

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Comments (83)

Sep 3, 2021 - 10:59am

COVID surges are happening in unvaccinated areas with Republican governors who won't enact any social distancing measures or lockdowns.  They are literally dying to own the libs.  Meanwhile highly vaccinated states are doing better.

Degrasse Tyson

(Someone is gonna try and "own" me by showing NY/NJ COVID deaths in March of 2020, but that was before the virus was completely preventable)

So no, you shouldn't have to worry!

Most Helpful
Sep 3, 2021 - 1:34pm

I love how everyone is so quick to attack republicans for not getting the vaccine, but they simply ignore the mass non-vaccinated populations among racial minorities.  But I guess that's too racist to talk about in 2021 :/

Note: I'm not saying we should ignore republicans not getting the shot (I think everyone should get the vaccine), but it is simply political BS to weaponize the vaccine considering most GOP governors (including Trump himself) have endorsed the vaccine.  

Also, that tweet is tone-deaf in that it literally mocks people for dying.

  • Analyst 1 in S&T - Equities
Sep 3, 2021 - 3:30pm

It's so weird that libs are doing this. They claim to be champions of minorities but are (maybe naively?) making fun of them and some are even wishing death on unvaccinated, the majority of which are ethnic minorities. Libs are full of shit.

Sep 3, 2021 - 8:23pm

It would be great if they stop politicizing the vaccine. Some folks on both sides won't and now it will probably remain politicized.

I know people on both sides who have gotten it and not gotten for whatever their personal reasons are. But I see a much higher percentage of lower income minorities I grew up with completely against it and they are on both sides of the political fence.

I am not really clear on why the folks I know from that group not wanting it, but there is no question they don't want it. I know some weren't fond of being told they can get it in their barber shops, who ever or what organization said that.

"yeah, thats right" High-Five
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  • Associate 2 in RE - Res
Sep 4, 2021 - 7:46am

Neil deGrasse Tyson pulled that statistic out of his ass and then deleted that tweet when people called him out on it. It's not up on his feed anymore.

  • Analyst 1 in S&T - Equities
Sep 3, 2021 - 3:31pm

They won't call it lockdowns, they'll just make everything a pain in the ass. By they I mean beautiful liberal cities (CHI, NYC, etc). Republican states/cities will continue moving on with life.

Sep 3, 2021 - 8:26pm

I don't think any governor will enact another lockdown. The economic damage is too much and some businesses barely made it through and couldn't survive another.

"yeah, thats right" High-Five
Sep 4, 2021 - 2:55am

Australia and New Zealand are horrifying test cases...

"Work ethic, work ethic" - Vince Vaughn

Controversial
Sep 4, 2021 - 10:05pm

I moved to Maryland a month or two ago. Without giving too much of the location away, it's a very blue town with a strong mix of white/black trash and color-haired and tattooed weirdos (I'm one of the weirdos). Life is 95% normal here. The only thing that's a bit weird is seeing 5-10% of people masked up outside and 90% of Asians are masked outside. The Asian community appears to have used Covid as the opportunity to throw off the shackles of their forced Western mores and gone full-blown Asian. I'm not sure what it is exactly--maybe a surge of Asian pride or something? It's really bizarre. It's really odd to see the best educated and smartest people (Asian American community) collectively acting like deranged lunatics. I went on a date with a vaccinated Asian girl. It was outside. Her face mask remained on the entire time. Lunacy.

About 40% of people mask up inside; 10% outside. Beyond that, life is back to normal. It's really difficult for me to see lockdowns coming again. The American-style lockdown is simply not effective because it was half-assed. This place was closed but that place was open. All it did was obliterate the economy without actually stopping the virus. I just can't see that happening again. Neither Democrats nor Republicans have the stomach for that again, though there is a group of about 20% of Americans who are desperate for lockdowns. Lunatics.

Array

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Sep 5, 2021 - 3:37am

Could be them recognizing that many Americans profile them as somebody who's more likely to bare virus, cause it originated in China, so they just trying to make you feel safe. And also, they don't consider it a big burden cause they're used to wearing masks or know people who are used to wearing masks, so they don't think it's a big deal to keep a mask on even if it's not required or not particularly useful (even if some of them believe so).

  • Analyst 3+ in CorpFin
Sep 5, 2021 - 3:31pm

Anyone know if banks are gonna push everyone back home again this winter?? Finalizing an offer in Chicago but would have 2 rents to pay as I just signed a lease in my current city for the next year, so would rather stay at home for as long as possible

  • Associate 3 in IB-M&A
Sep 5, 2021 - 4:47pm

Why would you sign a year long lease elsewhere? 

Banks might try to bring people back but you will probably have some amount of flexibility/you won't be forced until at least the spring or summer. Just hold firm that you're very uncomfortable being in the office if you don't want to move (this also means don't post pics of your Mexico vacation/EDC/any really crowded event)

  • Analyst 3+ in CorpFin
Sep 5, 2021 - 5:19pm

Lol signed the lease back in May and a role opened up so I decided to take it and my gf will be finishing up her school program down here so gotta cover both. Haven't signed a lease in Chicago yet but they wanted me to come up by next month. Was hoping covid would push that date but they don't seem phased by it so far

Sep 5, 2021 - 9:46pm

I don't see another round of lockdowns.  I thought it would take 2-3 months for the "fuck this" factor to kick in for the American populous...it took more like 16 months, but that switch has been flipped and you're not going to get ppl to lockdown again - especially because it's clear that lockdowns accomplish fuck all. 

The only thing that I could see pushing another lockdown is the Dems desperately trying to divert attention from their clusterfuck in Afghanistan.  "Forget about the Americans stuck in Afghanistan that the Taliban is using as bargaining chips and refusing to let fly back to the U.S., the lambda variant is going to kill everyone!! Never fear, though, that senile, old dottering fuck Joe Biden is going to save everyone by instituting national lockdowns.  He'll be addressing the nation tonight to lay out how super serial this is...please listen because if you're watching w/ CC it'll just read 'unintelligible." 

I come from down in the valley, where mister when you're young, they bring you up to do like your daddy done

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Sep 6, 2021 - 10:41am

Idk if I've really seen the fuck this factor being switched though. Journalists are writing articles with headlines like "Your child will wait for another child to die". That's a real article from CNN. Then there's the Oklahoma school board member who said kids will "commit murder" by coming to school. Maybe it's just because I'm in an extremely liberal area, but it seems like people have completely lost their ability to evaluate the situation, and the solution to every problem for them is a lockdown.

Sep 6, 2021 - 10:55am

I don't live in a super liberal area anymore, but I see the stands full for sporting events in them.  I don't use the lib media or teachers' unions as proxies of what actual ppl are thinking.  Both are wildly disingenuous bad actors - COVID rates for the MSM and they've been lying and lying by omission about it for over a year, so they're just used to it.  The teachers have gotten used to their year-long paid vacations and would like to still be getting paid for sitting at home...apparently, having the same vacation schedule as an 8 year old isn't good enough for them.

I come from down in the valley, where mister when you're young, they bring you up to do like your daddy done

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Sep 6, 2021 - 3:53pm

They can try. But enough people know in this country that it's utter bullshit that I imagine a plurality of places won't comply. They'll never be able to force it like in Australia in the US because we have a 2nd Amendment and an armed populace will not take kindly to an attempted authoritarian police state.

Array

Sep 6, 2021 - 4:12pm

I've noticed more and more people wearing masks in grocery stores.

"If you always put limits on everything you do, physical or anything else, it will spread into your work and into your life. There are no limits. There are only plateaus, and you must not stay there, you must go beyond them." - Bruce Lee

Sep 7, 2021 - 4:17pm

Same here, not sure if we're supposed to, but I'm not ready to start wearing a mask that hasn't had any proven benefits again just yet.  I need a little more hysteria and fear mongering first.  

  • Analyst 1 in S&T - Equities
Sep 7, 2021 - 4:26pm

First we need VAXX III and VAXX IV and THEN more lockdowns. I want the government in control of every aspect of my life and I want an Amazon robot to post up in my apartment to vaccinate me at random intervals throughout the day. 

  • Prospect in IB-M&A
Sep 7, 2021 - 11:40pm

honestly it should be a choice, and no one should feel pressured into it. If you want to take it, then great, take it. If you don't want too, then great, don't take it. Also, the government shouldn't force mask/vaccination requirements, it should be up to individual businesses. 

Sep 8, 2021 - 1:47pm

nibnog

We're entering the season for seasonal viruses, how long do you think there is until they shut everything down again? I already see a worryingly large amount of people actually asking to be preemptively locked down...

It's not a right question.  We never had a lockdown in the first place.  So it's physically not possible to have one "again".

And it depends where you live.  If you're in a southern, GOP controlled state, you probably won't have any more serious restrictions, but on the flip side you're way more likely to die.  If you live in a northeast blue state, or out west... well, vaccination rates are getting to where they need to be, so probably no more serious restrictions for those who are vaccinated, but with a far smaller chance of hospitalization or death.

In other words, what it should be.

Sep 8, 2021 - 4:10pm

And it depends where you live.  If you're in a southern, GOP controlled state, you probably won't have any more serious restrictions, but on the flip side you're way more likely to die.

 Is this seriously still going around even in late 2021? It's been neck and neck between Northeastern and GOP states for a long time.

https://www.statista.com/statistics/1109011/coronavirus-covid19-death-r…

Out of the top 10, 4 out of the top 10 are typically Republican states (worth noting that current governor of Louisana is a Dem).

If you live in a northeast blue state, or out west... well, vaccination rates are getting to where they need to be, so probably no more serious restrictions for those who are vaccinated, but with a far smaller chance of hospitalization or death.

So, if we adjust for the fact that the GOP states are lagging in vaccination rates to other parts of the country wouldn't my probability of survival be higher in a GOP state considering I am vaxxed?

Array

  • CEO in IB - DCM
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