Does SWE have greater long term potential than IB?

Why is it that everyone tells me SWE is a better career choice in the long run than IB? My long term goal is some role at the level of VC partner, founding member of a successful startup, or C-suite executive, preferably in a tech field. For context, I'm a freshman at a target studying CS; I have extensive programming experience, so there's nothing skills-wise stopping me from becoming a SWE. I just assumed that an average or even below-average analyst at say, Qatalyst, which takes only a handful of grads per year, would have far greater exit opportunities than an average SWE among the thousands of new grad SWEs hired by FAANGs and other unicorns. Am I misguided in aiming for a career in IB?

I'm interested in both and feel like I would enjoy the work of both, so please don't tell me to choose which one I "enjoy" more, or which one has a better WLB. I'm merely interested in an objective analysis of long term potential in either career.