Gamble on Recovery - BAML vs. UBS. vs. Citi

Hi,

Which of the following 3 banks do you believe will be very strong in 1-2 years?

BAML Citi UBS

Based on the league tables in equities, debt and M&A....of 2010 and Q12011 it seems BAML is the most successfull top 3 in all debt categories, top 3 in all equities categories.. bouncing in M&A....followed by UBS but Citi............

What do you think?

22 Comments
 

That should be the order. If/when bofa fixes itself, baml is the old Merrill with an unlimited balance sheet and an unparalleled distribution. Citi is similar but they will have to give the rest of their retail system to MS. Most of you kids are two young to remember that pre crisis Citi and Merrill dominated the league tables across product categories and many of those folks are still around. UBS has always been second tier in the US and will remain so.

 
Best Response

Officially, BAC bought ML, which is MLFP&S (Merrill Lynch, Fenner, Pierce and Smith). This is often shortened to BAML. Someone mentioned that ML is not the ML of old in that many of the senior FAs left. Very true. However, many stayed as well and there is also a big push currently for them to hire a new force of younger FAs to begin addressing the needs of the millennial generation.

There is, and has been, a major shift in the industry. Between robos and low-cost B/Ds, with very low minimums to open, full service FAs are becoming more scarce and more niche-oriented, and fee compression continues to be an issue for the full-service industry.

Do believe there is opportunity out there, but would not suggest a newbie enter this profession unless they have a built-in book of business.

 
awm55
boutiquebank4life1. GS 2. JPM 3. Citi 4. BAML 5. MS Middle market status: UBS

Look at whats been going on and u can see MS is going down the tubes. Losing money and all that.

UBS is 6'th internationally for M&A. Middle market my ass.

Ignore boutique...he's a joke

If I had asked people what they wanted, they would have said faster horses - Henry Ford
 

I don't think Citi will ever be seen as better than MS...and trust me if I have any bias, it's in favor of Citi lol. Not sure where this anti-MS information is coming from though, all of my contacts at MS say deal flow is better than ever.

 

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