35 Comments
 

I think it could be division dependant.

You are correct that in ECM things could slow down, along with IBD.

Areas Commercial Banking may not though, especially given the rates changes.

Back office I’d imagine to be fairly safe too, JPM kept their BO grad program open through covid.

Interesting.

 

I dont see why return offers would be down? Don't most banks (unless you're at shitty, shitty GS) account for anticipated lower headcount anyway when recruiting, so they're still going to aim to take most interns FT? I know Citi does this.

Worst case ECM desk don't hire you, but you get a generalist return offer and you go to another desk FT

 

Sucks to be American, because in the UK recruiting runs September-December (mostly)

 

A Director in DCM said that it doesn't really matter what happens to rates, companies are always going to need their services so he wasn't worried about the rising rates on DCM. Loans probably is safer too. Structured Products tends to be fairly recession proof, they did well during the Covid uncertainty. 

 

Depends on what the markets and deal activity looks like in 23/24.

Also depends on if you have the misfortune of doing your SA at one of the few crappy banks that make it a habit to overhire SAs and make you fight for limited spots (e.g. JPM, GS).

 

Knew a few SAs from ECM this past summer from my top BB and they told me that their group had pretty shit return offer rates (~40). ECM was laying off ft an/as so not much room for intern offers.

 

Should be fine, think about it. The down turn year will be 2023, you'll be graduating in ~May 2024 and starting full time in June 2024. That's exactly when the market will be hot and they'll need analysts.

The only people who are screwed right now are people trying to lateral or break in as a FT when they graduate in May 2023 and would start in June 2023.

 
Most Helpful

Completely different situation than what happened to SA2022s, as that hiring process was completed during mid 2021 when many banks were forecasting 2022 to be a “record year for M&A.” Thus they hired too many interns last summer.

During the recent SA2023 hiring cycle, banks were already anticipating a recession in 2023 when they decided how many internships spots to offer. So you’ll be fine unless the market outlook for 2024 becomes worse than that for 2023, which seems unlikely at the moment.

 

Summer 2023 interns will not be receiving full time salaries until like July 2024 and wont receive bonuses until like August 2025, so as an expense, interns aren't so much of a concern. People who have offers now got them in one of the hardest recruiting yeas, so like the associate above said, it's likely they underhired and offer rates should be fine unless thing take a real turn south. CPI had decently good news today, and I personally think a soft landing is most likely. 

 

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