Negative Working capitall

Hey guys,

Let's say the industry i am researching is generally negative working capital (-10% of the forecasted revenue). Thus, let's say the revenue is 20Millions, the working capital required for general working purpose is 2M or -2M?? I am unable to reconcile the fact since it is negative working capital. It doesn't make sense to me when the working capital for working purpose is negative

Thanks.

8 Comments
 

My first question would be is this net working capital balance or is this a change in working capital. I almost think it's your balance.

Change in working capital is often negative in forecasts driven by growth.

If in year 1 rev is 20mm, let's say NWC balance is 2mm.....in year2 let's say rev is 30 implying NWC balance of 3mm. Take year 1 minus year 2 and you get -1mm change in NWC.

 

Wait in the scenario you just described the change is positive (2mm -> 3mm) but I think what you mean is that the fcf impact is negative.

To live is to suffer, to survive is to find some meaning in the suffering.
 

I agree with the above reply. Also, if it truly is negative working capital it isn't that abnormal. You see this a lot with subscription service models of software companies with high deferred revenue balances.

In general, I agree with the reply above in that the (1MM) change represents the cash outflow to generate the additional 10MM in revenue.

 

What industry is this? Negative nwc can only be sustained in the short run and all it really means is that the company currently has more short-term liabilities than short-term assets.

To live is to suffer, to survive is to find some meaning in the suffering.
 

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