What model to build?
Our company was acquired by PEG and part of their strategy is driving M&A to us (portfolio co) before the 5-6 yr exit.
You are a basically a corporate dev associate within a Portfolio Co. that has been tasked to show/build a model for portfolio co. mgmt. team and your model/analysis output maybe used to present to the PEG.
A traditional pure lbo doesn't quite make sense because the deals are small and you aren't existing the recent purchased company.
A merger model makes the most sense, but you need to still show some exit IRR, Moic sensitivity to justify this transaction over another opportunity.
Another twist is that the portfolio company is greenfielding and assigning those Gfs a 5yr p/l to track too.
Would a blended model make sense or would the PEG wonder what drugs the finance team is on?
Would this new business would be treated as a greenfield and assigned a 5 yr
Insight from IB, PE and active corp Dev would be welcome.
Sil CompBanker NuclearPenguins
Just look at PV of incremental cash flow vs. cash purchase price. You can make all of the merger model adjustments to whatever your incremental flows are and deal related adjustments, which would account for financing structure as well. Should give you IRR and can compare NPVs of various deals/scenarios.
I agree with this approach. Your objective is to compare the PEG’s IRR and MOIC that would be achieved both with the transaction and had the transaction never occurred. A merger model would work just fine. If new equity is required to complete the transaction, you’ll also want to calculate the return profile of the new equity versus the original investors’ equity. A lot of moving parts but not a super challenging task if you’re familiar with calculating returns.
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