What do you think the catalyst will be for the next recession and when do you think this will roughly occur?

Lot of fiscal stimulus and quantitative easing is propping up the United States economy. But earnings multiples for the S&P 500 quite elevated, and I can't help but wonder how long does party will last. Could we see another 5 to 7 year bull market or not
 

What will the catalyst be to launch us into a recession and when will this happen? Will future recessions even look like past recessions giving people are now trained to expect free checks from the government? Really concerned about what this will mean for our debt to GDP ratio moving forward in the growth of the welfare state which will destroy this country, albeit slowly 

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