2025 Bonus Outlook - Top 20 Firms - (From Best: Best MS, Citi, Jefferies to Worst: HSBC, Evercore and UBS)

Bonuses often tied to IB Fees generated, below is a comparison of YTD 2024 vs 2023 deals. Per comp consultants, this percent change often a good proxy for bonuses (assuming similar headcount between years). This quarter banks will forecast bonuses and perform layoffs accordingly to shore up the bonus pool.

image-20241004115552-1

https://www.efinancialcareers.com/news/investment…

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Yikes UBS could have doubled headcount, (maybe 1.5x with layoffs and attrition) and still down 16% this year. Expect bonuses to hover around 50% of this year in 2025. To keep good talent, expect up to a third of bankers to get zeroed to increase attrition, and try to get good bankers closer to 80% or 100% of this year's bonus.

 

A friend of mine works there, and they have a growth plan through 2027. It seems like they have a good flow of deal activity

 

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