Game over for FT 2021 if you dont get a return offer this summer?

Yeah everyone in the past has been saying just continue to re-recruit or whatever for all open FT slots however with offers coming out and some firms giving almost everyone offers like Lazard and BAML and most likely deciding not to have ft recruiting, is recruiting just fucked? What would be the ideal plan if you're not able to land something

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Is it just suggested to do grad schools, take a gap year to apply as a senior technically again, or to find work anywhere? Trying to be serious too. Ik a bunch of analysts on here will probably say just grind and even try to get some bs local boutique job but that just doesnt seem realistic especially given how many others will be in the same situation and with most boutique having almost no deal flow.

 
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My bet is FT recruiting will happen eventually, but will be super tough. Hopefully by Q1 2021 we get a vaccine and the economic outlook improves a lot. Lots of banks have cut headcount this year (or plan to in the fall) due to the decline in M&A activity, so if things start looking up in the winter/spring, banks may scramble to make some hires.

That being said, lots of big banks (Citi, BAML, Moelis, etc) have taken the hit and given super high offer rates, so I think FT recruiting at nearly all BB/EB/topMM will be non-existent. It's the smaller boutiques that have gotten especially crushed during Covid, and they are the banks that will likely realize in the winter that they will be severely understaffed when deals do come back and make some last minute FT hires.

So I think there is hope, but it certainly won't be the standard end of the summer FT process and may take well into the year. Will be especially tough for people (like me) that have return offers to really shitty places and are forced to decide if we want to roll the dice on things improving later or just bite the bullet and take what is on the table now.

 

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