62 Comments
 

Financial reporter lurking here. Would love to speak with you confidentially if you're open to it. I'm nwolf.32 on Signal or can provide an email.

 

Sabine that a company up 50% in the stock market does layoffs. Corporate greed

 

If they chop Marco they probably will get rid of most of the Barclays MDs at the same time. Only reason no Barclays MDs been fired yet is because Marco shields his people over everyone else

 

Am US based. Tiering is subjective. Tier 3 is basically the banks that do a bunch of buyside work for sponsors in hopes of getting fees, which is how I think of UBS since I only see them as buyside advisors never as sell-sides. Tier 1 is those who do a lot of the sell-sides and tier 2s are those that sometimes do sellsides. Tier 4 IMO is people who don't do either.

 

They weren’t even alone on the buyside. They can’t really do anything except provide debt financing

 

Most of the sponsor buysides have multiple advisors. I seriously doubt Union Square is ever getting any large-cap lead buyside advisor mandates no offense to them. I am curious as to how you and people here are so confident as to how these groups are doing with when it seems like you guys are not in them.

 

redundancy is a cancer to p&l.
ubs absorbed a massive failing entity. cutting 20% is not cruel, it is just integration.
​lesson for the juniors:
you are an expense line item until you become a revenue generator.
the only way to hedge against this risk is to own the equity.
if you get fired but your stock portfolio goes up 5% on the news, you still win.
​play both sides

 

From an analyst’s perspective, the reported plan for UBS to reduce headcount by roughly 20% should be understood less as a sign of stress and more as the inevitable follow-through of its post-merger strategy. The group set a medium-term target of around 85,000 employees after absorbing Credit Suisse, yet public disclosures suggest it is still operating closer to 105,000, making a material reduction unavoidable if cost synergies are to be credibly delivered. This move also fits squarely with current industry dynamics: capital markets activity remains structurally softer than in the pre-2022 cycle, banks are under pressure to improve ROE and reduce RWA intensity, and advances in automation and AI have lowered the execution risk of running leaner platforms. In that context, the scale of the layoffs is notable, but not surprising. For markets, the more important question is not the headline percentage, but whether the cuts are concentrated in overlapping and non-core functions rather than revenue-critical franchises. If executed with discipline, the reductions are more likely to be read as balance-sheet and cost-base normalization than as a deterioration in UBS’s underlying business outlook.

 

Europe is the only reason they can even sniff at a deal (and try to take EMEA’s credit for the Americas)

 

Christian and his team are solid. Most of the biggest telecom wins are because of him, and Americas MnT tries to take credit for execution even though they add no value

 

After having worked at a few other IBs, you quickly come to realize that UBS is at best a 2nd rate organization, and is generally below average competence in all aspects of banking.

Their books are mediocre at best, ideas are boilerplate, juniors and seniors alike mid to below mid. Win rate for deals is very low, and most deals they do win are low quality and unlikely to close

 

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