39 Comments
 

Renewables are set to account for almost 95% of the increase in global power capacity through 2026, with solar PV alone providing more than half. The amount of renewable capacity added over the period of 2021 to 2026 is expected to be 50% higher than from 2015 to 2020.

If oil is so great how come nobody is building any fossil fuel plants?  The free market has spoken and fossil fuels are going the way of the dodo.  And don't even say "wokeness" because even countries like China that don't give a fuck about pollution are still going green

https://www.iea.org/news/renewable-electricity-growth-is-accelerating-f…

 

Neuroscience

"If you always put limits on everything you do, physical or anything else, it will spread into your work and into your life. There are no limits. There are only plateaus, and you must not stay there, you must go beyond them." - Bruce Lee
 

Dont see this ever reaching economies of scale to match how cheap food production already is

Will second the egg freezing above. Every trend points towards to it, and soon you will see a push from women (who hold more political power than men dont let anyone tell you otherwise) to mandate it from insurance and employers will have to play ball

 

I'm pretty sure the cost of artificial food production reduces every year, like Moores law... I seen a stat that it cost $33k to produce a pound of beef in 2013 to like $30 today (unsure if accurate)

 

Gene therapy. At some point someone will stop giving a fuck about the ethics and start pushing the limit for real.

"If you don't have any enemies in life you have never stood up for anything" - Winston Churchill | "It's a testament to the sheer belligerence of the profession that people would rather argue about the 'risk-adjusted returns' of using inferior tooth cleaning methods." - kellycriterion
 

Quantum computing and related artifical intelligence applications. Just follow the huge sums of money invested in quantum computing by China and the US. Once the raw power of quantum computing is unlocked, ai will see its usefulness grow exponentially. ai based on binary code will appear a dinosaur in comparison

 

Hopefully soon quantum computing projects harness a level of qubits where quantum computing 'breaks even' compared to conventional calculation. Still have not quite wrapped my mind around quantum superposition. Really interesting technology.

I would bet the next big industry will more likely arise from hardware / deep tech innovation than software development.

 

Current egg extraction techniques will ultimately be replaced by in vitro gametogenesis, which uses adult cells like skin or blood cells to generate stem cells and then eggs. The eggs will be more viable because they're not aged and the current constraints will be removed, so the process will be able to generate large numbers of eggs. IVG has already been successfully used in mice and will probably be used in humans in the 2020s.

 

This is the best idea so far. You might want to delete it though so people can’t take away your profits.

"If you always put limits on everything you do, physical or anything else, it will spread into your work and into your life. There are no limits. There are only plateaus, and you must not stay there, you must go beyond them." - Bruce Lee
 

damn what was it, in not as many words?

Quant (ˈkwänt) n: An expert, someone who knows more and more about less and less until they know everything about nothing.
 

I don't think the market size and dynamics of cryogenics/cryopreservation are as favorable as you think

First of all, that would be a highly commoditized service

Secondly, the tam isn't really there: let's say there's 50mm women of childbearing age in the U.S. and they each pay $200 per year to freeze eggs, then the tam is capped at $10B per year...Granted it would be a solid business given recurring revenue and high switching costs, but it wouldn't be revolutionary

Thirdly, tremendous amount of liability (ie. what if you lost someone's frozen eggs? What if you accidentally mislabeled the eggs and accidentally gave the wrong eggs out? What if there are possible birth defects associated with improper care of eggs?) 

 
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