NYC Job Market Update

Is it just me or is the RE job market fully fucked? Thought there would be more postings come the new year but it doesn’t seem like anyone is hiring from analyst to VP. Any job that comes out gets like 500 applications for one spot.


Any of you guys at places that are thinking about bringing in new junior / mid-level support or is it another keep your head down and grind it out year? Seems like recruiting has picked up for IB but not anything in RE.

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Its dogshit.

There was a recent position that became available that would be a good next move for me. I applied, and knew the specific person leaving the team (mid-level). He put in my resume for me and I got to the first round.

Ghosted from everyone shortly after. There were 250+ applications. Pretty sure someone else with worse experience but a better connection (VP of RE) got it.

Market is shit, and even when something becomes available, only applying won't do much. You need contacts on the inside, and still no guarantee. 

I am not sure what the solution is at this point.   

 

Same on the west coast. Gotten several interviews from the limited postings out there and have gotten ghosted at some stage on 90% of them. Have even made it to a few final rounds just to hear nothing back. 

Every job I see posted on LinkedIn has 100+ apps within a few hours. I've seen multiple people with experience and MSRE/MRED's taking entry level analyst roles. Very discouraging.  

 

I'm just becoming more strategic about it. Setting alerts for all relevant jobs on LinkedIn / related sites. When something interesting becomes available, you need to submit an app immediately and set up a coffee chat with mid-level and senior executives. It's literally a part-time job lol. 

Also only recently have i started to actually ask my connections if they hear of any openings. Maybe that will help?

 

I have been looking for ER roles. I email the head analyst when I see the job posting and get a 1/25 hit rate on responses and have turned 2 into interviews thus far

 

For entry-level Analysts roles (out of college), in this market expect them to be building a dynamic multi-tenant model from scratch with a 4-tier waterfall (wish I was joking)

 

Not saying any of the following are easy to get but the following firms all have public posts hiring for junior roles across equity / credit / asset management / capital markets / development / valuations / etc in NYC. Excluding all REIB. And excluding all the recruiter-led processes or firms looking on the DL that I've heard about, which will always represent the majority of the searches out there.

So yes, there are a ton of jobs, especially compared to 2023-2025. I'm about to kick off a search for a dedicated associate (ignore my outdated title), and friends are too - so recruiting gates are starting to open.

Extell, Thor Equities, GS, JPMAM, JPMC, Deutsche Bank, Brookfield, Harrison Street, Ares, KKR, Temasek, Ventas, CPPIB, Belay, StepStone, Quadreal, Sound Point, Marathon, Morgan Stanley, Related, Aquarian, GIC, Acadia Realty Trust, PIMCO, Lightstone, Wells Fargo, Arena, Gilbane, Time Equities, JLL, CBRE, Greystar, Marcus & Millichap, PwC, Citi, HR&A, M&T Bank, Welltower, Ocean West, and many others.

 

NYC market is beyond brutal no jobs in sight. Many peers are unemployed despite having impeccable credentials

 

Looking like it'll be very bad until 2028/2029. In 2023 people said 2024 was going to be "the year" but kept kicking the can down the road

 

Ralph_Lauren4122

I thought 2026 was supposed to be the year. Everyone was saying “survive in 25” so wtf is it for 2026? Eat a bag of dicks in 26?

Commercial Real Estate Developer
 

Maybe I’m at a smaller shop but aren’t job postings just kind an HR/legal obligation? I’ve only gotten jobs because someone important wants me there and I’ve got a few friends who have switched jobs over the last few years due to being poached by a buddy. Nothing gets done without someone pulling for you on the inside and the decision is usually made before the job posting goes online in most places is the vibe I’m getting. But I’ve never really been involved in the recruiting process for junior guys at an institutional shop. We kind of find someone we like and then figure out a way to create a job for them. But this is family office world, not REPE MF recruiting

 

Xhamster02

The warmth of mamdani socialism will bring all the jobs back

I don’t think one political cycle can destroy the epicenter of capitalism. You got the same crazy political situation (or arguably worse) going on in California and it’s not like Silicon Valley stopped being the epicenter of all things tech. 

Also, for NYC RE specifically I think rent stabilized and multifamily owners have a lot more to worry about than office/retail/industrial owners. What landlords charge commercial tenants for rent is relatively low on the socialist democrat to do list and rich people and big companies are always going to figure out a  loophole to pay low taxes. 

 

Work at a large equity fund. IF things stay the same, It’s going to be a while longer till capital formation and transaction volume ticks up and then job growth. Even my optimistic take is that this will be 2H27 at the earliest. More likely 2028. Despite what you may hear no fund is absolutely killing it. Blackstone 40% irr fund down to single digits per filings. People deploying capital making some suspect buys. Nothing is a screamer, especially on a Y1 cap rate basis. Multi soft even in some high barrier metros. Industrial demand still pretty shit and overbuilt almost everywhere. GDP risk could merk retail. Office… yeah. I do think there are some compelling steady eddy buys, which is what cre should be, but when your dpi and redemption queue are shit, investors and portfolio demand high returns to not repay frustrated investors. Capital flows are into debt right now but Very curious what a few 5% loan losses do to a debt funds returns, which will happen. Also, they are reliant on our transaction activity which is not happening. 

So yeah keep your chin up and take solace in the fact that the executives above you wear no clothes and did a bunch of shit deals that got us in this mess. I would target debt and brokerage roles.

 

I think I did say debt would be a good spot. Post was geared for entry level people. If you’re trying to break in I would view targeting brokerage as a higher value use of your time vs equity gp/lp who are not hiring really. Vs brokerage, those guys are always up to something and if you convince the right person, they could hire you because it’s not that expensive (low base highly variable pay). But yes originations would be a good spot to be for the next few years. Just don’t get stuck in debt 😉

 

Are people just not doing deals? It seems like deal flow has picked up but there hasn’t been any hiring despite that fact.

 

You can't take these 'assessments' seriously from people who have a vested interest in convincing someone else to do a deal. They are marketing, plain and simple.

Lenders need borrowers. GP's need LP's.  Brokers and landlords need tenants.   You're putting up a 'closed for business' sign if you say anything less than 'next quarter is going to be good/better.'  

If you're a tenant/borrower/LP choosing between landlord/broker/lender/GP, and one says 'market's dead' and one says 'market's turning,' which one are you choosing?  

 

Not NY but other Tier 1 market. We've hired two associates this past year (no, we aren't hiring more) and 99% of the candidates we got just weren't great. Chalk it up to lack of deal flow the last few years, but just genuinely not impressed with their skills and grit (9/10 can't even model a waterfall and will say "I've been thinking about learning it" as if it's a year long commitment). Every candidate we've really liked has had at least one competitive offer if not 2-3.

 

I think this is more about expectations having gotten way too high (and your comment reflects this).

I’m not saying it has to be like 2020-2022 where you had people with fully irrelevant experience landing offers at top institutional players. I’m saying realistically, someone with finance experience should be interview-able and someone with real estate experience period should be hireable.

Firms aren’t even interviewing people unless they’re doing the exact same job at a competitor (in which case, why would they leave?) and won’t hire anyone who makes any mistakes on an interview question/the case (48 hours seems like the norm now vs the 1-2 hour ones).

The job market definitely sucks.

 

When I was applying for associate roles 7-10 years ago, I spent several weekends learning waterfall modeling before I even started applying. I think it's a fair expectation that associates today do the same, and it shows lack of grit to complain the market is so bad yet do the least possible to improve skillset for the roles that do exist, then complain that they are going to other candidates that are doing so. From interviewing and giving several offers, I can tell you that the candidates that are taking these steps are getting multiple offers. 

 

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